According to the latest Pulse Asia survey, the battle for the 2010 Presidential Elections is too tight to call. Vice President Noli De Castro leads at 18%, followed closely by Escudero 17%, Estrada 15%, Villar 14%, and Roxas at 13%. Senator Loren Legarda dropped out of the top 5 list. The biggest winner for this survey is Senator Roxas, who surged 5 points. It looks like his Padyak campaign combined with his public engagement to Korina Sanchez brought him closer to the masses.
In terms of geography, Escudero is the choice of the majority of Filipinos in Metro Manila. In Mindanao, both Erap and De Castro are the front runners (looks like star power works in the South). Senator Roxas, on the other hand, leads the race in Visayas. If we will take this information seriously, we’ve already identified the potential strongholds of the candidates and can also be used as strategy for the said candidates to do more work in the places where they are weak.
Here’s the full article from Inquirer.net:
2010 presidential race remains tight—poll
By Anna Valmero
INQUIRER.net
First Posted 13:09:00 06/01/2009Filed Under: Politics, Elections, Eleksyon 2010
MANILA, Philippines—If the presidential elections were held today, five contenders will have a tight race for the post as they would garner about the same percentages of Filipino votes, the Pulse Asia May 2009 survey said.
Filipinos would likely vote for Vice President Noli L. De Castro (18 percent), Senator Francis G. Escudero (17 percent), former President Joseph Estrada (15 percent), Senator Manuel B. Villar, Jr. (14 percent), and Senator Manuel A. Roxas II (13 percent), said Pulse Asia’s May 2009 Ulat ng Bayan national survey.
Other candidates got only 7 percent or less, namely Senators Loren Legarda, Panfilo Lacson, Richard Gordon, Manny Pangilinan, Justice Reynato Puno, Makati Mayor Jejomay Binay, Defense Secretary Gilbert Teodoro, religious leader Bro. Mike Vellarde, Bayani Fernando, and Pampanga Governor Ed Panlilio.
Despite continued talks about a no-election scenario and uncertainties regarding the automation of the May 2010 elections, the level of public interest in the elections remains high as virtually all Filipinos have a preferred candidate in mind, said Pulse Asia.
However, Filipinos are still divided when it comes to their choice of their next president as shown by the results, it said.
In Metro Manila and the best-off Class ABC, Escudero topped the presidential bet with 26 percent. In Mindanao, Estrada and De Castro have almost the same voter preferences at above 20 percent, said the survey.
In the Visayas, the favored presidential candidates are Roxas (22 percent), Villar (20 percent), De Castro (18 percent), and Escudero (15 percent), while class E favors De Castro (25 percent), Estrada (19 percent), Escudero (15 percent) and Villar (13 percent).
The five presidential candidates currently leading at the national level also enjoy nearly the same levels of electoral support in the rest of Luzon and the most numerous Class D.
About one in three Filipinos is voting for his/her preferred presidential bet because of the candidate’s being helpful to others, particularly the poor and the overseas Filipino workers, said Pulse Asia.
One in 10 Filipinos chose a candidate based on his or her many accomplishments, followed by being clean or not corrupt, being a good person, and being a fighter among others.
Between February and May 2009, Roxas enjoyed 5 percentage-point improvement while Legarda had a 5 percentage-point erosion in terms of following.
The nationwide survey had 1,200 respondents from all over the country.
Will write more about this later on.
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Tags: 2010 Presidential Elections Philippines, Pulse Asia 2010 Elections
do you have an article with regards to the insights of the youthe for the upcoming election? thanks Ü
Dear Mr. Carlo Ople,
I’m an independent researcher conducting a study on blogging and political participation among Filipinos, funded by the SIRCA grant program of IDRC Canada.
Your blog was selected for our survey through a sampling carried out in May 2009. I’d like to request your participation as one of our survey respondents. May I have your email address so I can send you the survey form in Word file? I also left you a message on your Facebook, which discusses the study in detail.
Please email me at mg.mirandilla(at)gmail. To learn more about my work, you can access my profile at http://www.linkedin.com/in/gracemirandilla.
I look forward to hearing from you soon.
Thank you very much.
NOEL AGUIRRE – 2010 Potential Presidential Candidate http://www.noelaguirre.com
Greetings!
Has a MISSION to fulfill, NOT an ambition for political interest. Wants to Transform Our Country To Become Self-Reliant. Envisions Prosperity; Abundant Food, Products, Maximum Employment, Peace & Order. To propagate the rice industry & manufacture Phil made appliances, electronics, automobiles, ships, helicopters, airplanes to maximize utilization of our tremendous unemployed manpower. The Philippines must be a PRODUCER! NOT mere Consumer.
I seek for your invaluable support to my advocacy; please disseminate this email to your colleagues.
With much gratitude,